Edible oil prices declined by Rs 8-10 per kg in the past month mainly on the back of lower import duties, and may further fall by Rs 3-4/kg in the coming months on higher domestic output of oilseeds and bearish trend in global markets, according to industry body SEA. “The last few months have been harrowing for the Indian edible oil consumer largely on account of very high international prices of all oils viz palm, soya and sunflower,” Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA) President Atul Chaturvedi said in a statement.
SEA said its members have been responding promptly in the past in passing on the benefit of lower prices to consumers. “We feel the prices would be reduced by around Rs 3-4 per kg in the foreseeable future. This should provide relief to our edible oil consumers during festive season,” he said.
With a large soybean crop of around 120 lakh tonnes and groundnut crop in excess of 80 lakh tonnes, Chaturvedi said edible oil prices would now remain in check.
“The icing on the cake is that high mustard seed prices have elicited a massive supply side response from the farmers and they have planted an all-time high mustard crop in about 77.62 lakh hectares. This figure is higher by almost 30 percent and has the potential of increasing domestic mustard oil availability by 8 to 10 lakh tonnes in the coming year,” he added.
Chaturvedi said the global trend of edible oil prices is “relatively bearish and we feel prices would continue to move downward”.
According to SEA, India’s dependence on import of edible oils is nearly 65 percent of the total consumption of about 22-22.5 million tonnes. The country imports 13-15 million tonnes to bridge the gap between demand and domestic supply. For the last two marketing years (November to October), due to the pandemic, import has reduced to nearly 13 million tonnes. “In 2019-20 the import dropped to 13.2 million tonnes valued about Rs 71,600 crore. In 2020-21, India imported similar quantity but import bill jumped by 63 percent and touched an alarming level of Rs 1.17 lakh crore due to hike in international prices of edible oils,” SEA had said last month.
First Published: IST